How long could Japan have fought on

[whiteshore]

Let's say that the Kyujo Incident is successful with the help of hardline generals like General Anami and the war continues. So, how long does the Japanese Empire fight on if the Kyujo incident succeeded?

[Kubo Caskett]

Till about near 1950, at the most complete with a couple more atomic bombings and heavy starvations and massive causalities on both sides; that and slow and bloody invasions of Japanese soil by the Allies.

That's what the Descisive Darkness TL taught me though I haven't finished reading it yet.

[Jasen777]

They can't make 1950, they are facing widespread starvation in less than a year, if there's a continued (conventional) bombing campaign.

[whiteshore]

What about Japanese forces in China, Southeast Asia, and other areas they still held by August 1945?

[orvillethird]

Jul 20, 2016 12:59:53 GMT whiteshore said:

What about Japanese forces in China, Southeast Asia, and other areas they still held by August 1945?

They may try and fight on, but they would not only face threats from the Allies, but also from the peoples of the occupied territories. No matter the religion or ethnicity or background of those fighting, they did not like the Japanese.

[Epic History]

Japan, as a coherent imperial entity, would only last into 1946. Hardcore bastions of Japanese, refusing to surrender, could continue resistance as Imperial Japanese remnants in a large scale into '47 or '48 before being mopped up. Groups of holdouts and individuals would last into the 1980s in large numbers, as well. 

[shamiboy]

They would last at the most until the late 40's, Japan's situation was dire and pseudo-Bushido can only last so long.

[whiteshore]

What areas of mainland Asia would be the last the Japanese hold on to?

[Epic History]

Jul 31, 2016 7:44:27 GMT whiteshore said:

What areas of mainland Asia would be the last the Japanese hold on to?

Probably some areas in Southeast Asia, small groups in Korea and China as well. 

[deltaforce]

Japan's national infrastructure was crumbling and a major famine was looming. Japan was isolated by Navy submarines and USAAF aerial mining operations conducted by B-29 bombers, and USAAF operations over Japan were so effective that Curtis LeMay was on the verge of running out of targets.

An official report, the United States Strategic Bombing Survey, reached a similar conclusion (see page 26), finding that:

Based on a detailed investigation of all the facts, and supported by the testimony of the surviving Japanese leaders involved, it is the Survey's opinion that certainly prior to 31 December 1945, and in all probability prior to 1 November 1945, Japan would have surrendered even if the atomic bombs had not been dropped, even if Russia had not entered the war, and even if no invasion had been planned or contemplated.