Decolonization in a scenario where the Nazis win WWII

[futurist]

If Britain makes peace in 1940 and the Nazis subsequently proceed to defeat the Soviet Union in 1941-1942 and push it back beyond the Urals--thus securing a Nazi-dominated Europe--what would decolonization look like in this scenario?

For the record, I am assuming that, with Britain already being out of the war, Japan never attacks the U.S.; however, I could be wrong about this.

For what it's worth, I think that, with a Nazi victory in Europe and the subsequent mass ethnic cleansing that they are going to do in the European part of the Soviet Union, other European countries are going to be much more determined to keep their colonies and to use extremely brutal force to achieve this goal. For instance, if independence rebellions will eventually break out in French North Africa, Vichy France could simply ethnically cleanse the place so that the only people remaining there are those who are loyal to French rule. I mean, if the Nazis are going to forcibly expel tens of millions of Slavs from the European part of the Soviet Union, why exactly should other European countries be more restrained when they are dealing with challenges to their rule in their own colonies (especially if these other European countries are dictatorships, like Vichy France)?

I fear that, in a Nazi-victory scenario, things such as democracy and national self-determination are going to be completely thrown out of the window--especially for non-White peoples (who will be perceived as being unworthy of self-rule). I suppose that Britain--which will remain free and democratic--could have a more lenient attitude towards this (as would the U.S., of course). Of course, even then, with the Nazis dominating Europe, it might be rather difficult for Britain to give up its remaining colonial possessions--unless perhaps these countries will agree to have an extremely close military alliance with Britain after they will acquire independence.

Anyway, any thoughts on this?

[steve59]

  It would almost certainly be a lot bloodier in many areas. If France is restored, i.e. the government regains the north of the country as part of a general peace, minus whatever Germany annexes then it would have more military power without the fighting over France in 44-45 and also the deep divisions that occurred in France post-war.  Also its likely to want to fight harder for the colonies and especially H Africa as both a source of 'power' and of prestige while racial brutality is going to be more widely accepted so that is likely to be even nastier than OTL.  Not sure how the Dutch and Belgium governments, with presumably some pro-Nazi regime's installed, would have gone on as they really lack the strength to hold large colonies.  Although the Dutch position would be stronger with no war in the Pacific. 

  Britain is likely to want to hold onto strategic areas especially and more importantly possibly to keep them out of German control.  Given the situation and probably a cold-war type scenario the US could even be supportive of this.  India will definitely get independence, its too close to it and too large.  However I can see Britain and the US seeking to have close de facto control of as much of the ME as possible, both because of world geography and because of oil.  Independence for African countries and places like Malaya, Cyprus and Aden is likely to be slower and as a result possibly bloodier.

  I can't see the Nazis, if they were to conquer European Russia in 41-42 letting the rest survive as an independent state so there's probably going to be another war there later but not necessarily a German victory here depending on how overstretched they might be and the indirect help the Russians might get from the west.

  Also by Japan not attacking the US do you mean there would be no Pacific war or that they would only attack Britain and possibly the DEI?  I doubt the latter would occur as while they had the resources Japan wanted the real problem for Japan was economic pressure from the US.  Would expect it would whether with a wider war or not, Japan will ultimately be forced out of China but without a big war their likely to hold Taiwan, Korea and quite possibly Manchuria for a lot long, possibly permanently.  De-colonisation here may not occur and repression is again likely to be bloody.  If japan is not decisively defeated and stays a deeply racist military dictatorship in charge of Manchuria it could take part in a later German war with the Soviets and that could well be fatal for the latter as it would both open up a 2nd front and possibly more importantly block the most likely western supply routes for aid.

  All in all its likely to be a very nasty world.  Even after a probably Nazi collapse as there's going to be a lot of chaos and instability in their former empire.